AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.25
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.51
6+
5%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.68
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.53
X/2
13%
5.63
X/X
18%
4.43
2/1
2%
29.0
2/2
19%
3.77
2/X
6%
12.6
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AFC Wimbledon The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.23 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 69%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
221 Passes 365
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
04.03.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-3 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
16.08.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 5-2 HT 2-2 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
16.01.2016 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-1 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
05.09.2015 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
17.03.2015 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.25 xG 0.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
343 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AFC Wimbledon shaded a tight game against Mansfield Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day AFC Wimbledon made the difference. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 59% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 41%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.25 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 2.00 for Mansfield Town.

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town Result & Final Score

AFC Wimbledon 2 - 1 Mansfield Town in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 36%, draw 29%, Mansfield Town 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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