Kerry 1-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
7%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.91/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.33
-40% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
22.08.2025 Kerry 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.07.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
30.05.2025 Kerry 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
24.08.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
13.06.2024 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry and Longford Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kerry at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kerry and 1.50 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Longford Town?

Kerry 1-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kerry 43%, draw 27%, Longford Town 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kerry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
27 Feb 2026
22:45 Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United Analysis →
22:45 Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths Analysis →
22:45 Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps Analysis →
22:45 Cork City vs Bray Wanderers Analysis →