Caernarfon Town 0-4 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.81
Away Pick
73%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
2.74
Over
72%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
12%
5.81
2-3
37%
2.02
4-5
34%
2.42
6+
17%
5.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
1%
2/2
50%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Caernarfon Town The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints The Market 72%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.65
2.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Strong
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.02.2026 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
28.11.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
04.11.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GALLK
07.10.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-3 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
11.03.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
11.02.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
REVIEW Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

The New Saints dismantled Caernarfon Town 4-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (72%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Caernarfon Town against 2.17 for The New Saints.

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints Result & Final Score

Caernarfon Town 0 - 4 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 11%, draw 16%, The New Saints 73%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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