Audace Cerignola 1-0 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.71/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.58
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
3W-1D-1L
AWAY US Latina
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2024 US Latina US Latina 0-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
25.02.2024 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
21.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
16.04.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
11.12.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-0
AWAY US Latina
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola squeezed past US Latina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 67% of the ball to US Latina's 33%, shots finished 23-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Audace Cerignola and 0.80 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs US Latina?

Audace Cerignola 1-0 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 53%, draw 23%, US Latina 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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