RFC Liege vs Lommel United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RFC Liege v Lommel United — Team-Based Signals
RFC Liege vs Lommel United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
RFC Liege 1-2 Lommel United — Actual Match Statistics
Lommel United edged past RFC Liege 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Lommel United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, RFC Liege had 68% of the ball to Lommel United's 32%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.57 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RFC Liege and 1.33 for Lommel United.
What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
RFC Liege 1-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Lommel United?
Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 40%, draw 22%, Lommel United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RFC Liege) went the other way.