Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
23%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.14
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.85
2-3 Goals
36%
2.29
4-5 Goals
29%
2.4
6+ Goals
14%
4.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
26.5
X/1
24%
3.64
X/2
7%
26.0
X/X
7%
11.25
2/1
7%
19.95
2/2
9%
17.9
2/X
7%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
77%
-19.5pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.8pp
23%
Away Win
9%
+13.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 12%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.86/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/3.11
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
530 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.3
8.8 Crosses 3.1
0.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Crawley Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
19.07.2019 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZ
23.07.2014 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
4-0
AWAY Crawley Town
2.48 xG 0.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
305 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion swept aside Crawley Town 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 44% of the ball to Crawley Town's 56%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.48 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.50 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crawley Town?

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 Crawley Town in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 57%, draw 20%, Crawley Town 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNLK More England - League Cup
27 Aug 2024
21:15 Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Analysis →
21:45 Harrogate Town vs Preston North End Analysis →
21:45 Millwall vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
21:45 Barnsley vs Sheffield United Analysis →
21:45 Barrow vs Derby County Analysis →
21:45 Leicester City vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →