New Mexico United 2-3 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.32/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.39
+0% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
15.7 Crosses 13.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Mexico United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Memphis 901
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 351
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2024 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 2-1 HT 2-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
14.10.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 4-1 HT 2-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
18.08.2022 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-2 HT 0-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New Mexico United
2-3
AWAY Memphis 901
1.50 xG 0.49
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
437 Passes 229
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New Mexico United vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 squeezed past New Mexico United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, New Mexico United had 64% of the ball to Memphis 901's 36%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.50 to 0.49 — on chances, New Mexico United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Memphis 901 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New Mexico United and 1.67 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Memphis 901?

New Mexico United 2-3 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 46%, draw 25%, Memphis 901 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New Mexico United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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