Sacramento Republic 0-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.66/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.68
+12% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.2 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 0-2 HT 0-2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
24.09.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
16.04.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 4-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
30.10.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
18.08.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
02.07.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 3-0 HT 2-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
0-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
0.86 xG 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
287 Passes 303
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs edged past Sacramento Republic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sacramento Republic had 50% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 50%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.86 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.17 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?

Sacramento Republic 0-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 51%, draw 23%, Colorado Springs 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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