Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Stade Ouchy v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stade Ouchy 0-1 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Etoile Carouge shaded a tight game against Stade Ouchy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
File this under upsets: a 61% lean on Stade Ouchy went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 65% to 35% in Stade Ouchy's favour, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.50 to 1.11.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Stade Ouchy against 0.67 for Etoile Carouge.
Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge Result & Final Score
Stade Ouchy 0 - 1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Stade Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 61%, draw 21%, Etoile Carouge 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.