Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hoffenheim v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hoffenheim 0-1 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli found just enough to beat Hoffenheim 1-0 on the road.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Hoffenheim at 62% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.76, about 57%.
By the numbers, Hoffenheim had 65% of the ball to St. Pauli's 35%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.80 to 0.77 — by the quality of chances, Hoffenheim deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.17 for St. Pauli.
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Result & Final Score
Hoffenheim 0-1 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 62%, draw 19%, St. Pauli 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.