Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities
Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih shaded a tight game against Borussia Dortmund 3-2 on their travels. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Borussia Dortmund had 33% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 67%, shots finished 10-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 2.17 for Bayern Münih.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Münih Result & Final Score
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Münih Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 21%, draw 21%, Bayern Münih 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.