Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 28 Feb 2026

Mönchengladbach
1-0 HT 0-0
Union Berlin
📅28/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.86
2-3
41%
1.73
4-5
23%
3.78
6+
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.33
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
16%
6.29
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
11%
4.52
2/X
8%
13.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Mönchengladbach v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin The Market 34%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.50/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.28
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.4 Crosses 19.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Berlin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.46
59% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
467 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.10.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-1 HT 2-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
15.02.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-2 HT 0-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
28.09.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
28.04.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
09.12.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
23.04.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1

Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
1-0
AWAY Union Berlin
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
401 Passes 239
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
REVIEW Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mönchengladbach squeezed past Union Berlin 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 25% / 35%); Mönchengladbach picked one for it.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Mönchengladbach had 60% of the ball to Union Berlin's 40%, shots finished 21-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.33 for Union Berlin.

Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin Result & Final Score

Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 40%, draw 25%, Union Berlin 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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