Heerenveen 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.2
Over Pick
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.57
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.73
6+
11%
7.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.63
1/2
2%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
9%
7.48
X/X
14%
5.63
2/1
3%
21.1
2/2
15%
4.9
2/X
5%
13.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heerenveen The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.90 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
1.19 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
378 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
12.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
26.10.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
19.05.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
27.08.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-3 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
15.04.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
2 - 1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
337 Passes 443
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
REVIEW Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Heerenveen nicked a narrow win over Sparta Rotterdam 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Heerenveen had 44% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 56%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heerenveen and 2.00 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam Result & Final Score

Heerenveen 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 49%, draw 25%, Sparta Rotterdam 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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