NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
Fortuna Sittard nicked a narrow win over NEC Nijmegen 3-2 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
File this under upsets: a 69% lean on NEC Nijmegen went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 68% to 32% in NEC Nijmegen's favour, shots finished 15-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for NEC Nijmegen against 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Result & Final Score
NEC Nijmegen 2 - 3 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 69%, draw 17%, Fortuna Sittard 14%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.