Heracles 1-3 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.14
Draw
14%
5.24
Away Pick
75%
1.29
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
2.94
Over
73%
1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
12%
7.23
2-3
37%
2.21
4-5
34%
2.34
6+
17%
4.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
12.95
1/2
3%
17.5
1/X
3%
21.8
X/1
4%
17.6
X/2
20%
4.1
X/X
8%
9.62
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
52%
1.47
2/X
3%
19.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heracles The Market 14%
Signal
AWAY PSV Eindhoven The Market 77%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.95 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.19
2.35 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 82%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.14 xG 3.26
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
207 Passes 586
72% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 50
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.12.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3 HT 2-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
14.05.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-1 HT 4-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
18.08.2024 Heracles Heracles 1-3 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.02.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
07.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HAZ
04.11.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-6 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
1 - 3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 15
3 Corners 5
250 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
REVIEW Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven put daylight between themselves and Heracles 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Heracles had 38% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 62%, shots finished 15-24.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heracles and 3.33 for PSV Eindhoven.

Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score

Heracles 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Heracles 11%, draw 14%, PSV Eindhoven 75%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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