Ballinamallard United 0-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
2%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
32%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.38/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.56
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.02.2026 Ards FC Ards FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
31.10.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
09.08.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
25.01.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
07.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
24.08.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC saw off Ballinamallard United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.50 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Ballinamallard United 0-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 25%, draw 30%, Ards FC 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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