Liepaja vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liepaja v Grobina — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liepaja 1-1 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja and Grobina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
File this under upsets: a 56% lean on Liepaja went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.49, about 67% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 49%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
The match data tells the story: Liepaja had 44% of the ball to Grobina's 56%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.46 to 1.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liepaja and 0.83 for Grobina.
Liepaja vs Grobina Result & Final Score
Liepaja 1-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liepaja vs Grobina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 56%, draw 24%, Grobina 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liepaja), BTTS No went the other way.