Santa Clara U23 3-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.25/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.48
-20% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2026 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
14.11.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
26.08.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
09.11.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
30.08.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
3-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 beat Sporting CP U23 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Santa Clara U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 43% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 57%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 0.80 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Santa Clara U23 3-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 39%, draw 24%, Sporting CP U23 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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