Colchester 0-1 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 28 Aug 2024

Colchester
0-1 HT 0-1
Brentford
📅28/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Colchester vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
71%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.59
2-3 Goals
45%
1.9
4-5 Goals
18%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
18.6
1/2
4%
24.0
1/X
4%
26.0
X/1
6%
23.15
X/2
10%
3.34
X/X
7%
8.19
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
57%
1.43
2/X
4%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+3.8pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.4pp
71%
Away Win
74%
-3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Brentford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 79%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.52/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.61
-83% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +29%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
225 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 538 · 86%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
13.7 Crosses 27.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.4

Colchester vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Brentford
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.66 xG 2.13
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
220 Passes 503
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2022 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNLK
26.04.2014 Colchester Colchester 4-1 HT 3-1 Brentford Brentford İN1
19.10.2013 Brentford Brentford 3-1 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN1
26.12.2012 Colchester Colchester 1-3 HT 1-2 Brentford Brentford İN1
08.09.2012 Brentford Brentford 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN1
14.02.2012 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İN1

Colchester 0-1 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
0-1
AWAY Brentford
0.94 xG 2.03
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
145 Passes 510
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford edged past Colchester 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Colchester had 28% of the ball to Brentford's 72%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.94 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Colchester and 1.83 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Brentford?

Colchester 0-1 Brentford in the England - League Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Colchester 13%, draw 16%, Brentford 71%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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