Cardiff City vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff City v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff City vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
0-4
HT 0-1
Southampton
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNP
Cardiff City 3-5 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Southampton beat Cardiff City 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Southampton as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cardiff City had 27% of the ball to Southampton's 73%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.68 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff City and 1.33 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Southampton?
Cardiff City 3-5 Southampton in the England - League Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 30%, draw 24%, Southampton 46%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.