Swansea City 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.0
X/2
8%
9.52
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
8%
7.21
2/X
7%
15.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 24%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
2.37/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.66
+126% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +53%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.99 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
384 Passes 187
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNCL
26.09.2020 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
09.10.2007 Swansea City Swansea City 2-0 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
15.01.2005 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
18.09.2004 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İN2
10.04.2001 Swansea City Swansea City 3-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-1
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.43 xG 0.87
73% Ball Possession 27%
7 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
621 Passes 189
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 18
34 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Swansea City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Swansea City had 73% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 27%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.43 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swansea City and 0.83 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Swansea City 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - League Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 52%, draw 26%, Wycombe Wanderers 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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