AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
43%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.6
1/2
6%
20.95
1/X
7%
17.6
X/1
10%
12.85
X/2
10%
3.74
X/X
15%
6.54
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.79
2/X
7%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.7pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.5pp
43%
Away Win
63%
-20.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 67%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.88/3.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.37
+147% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -64%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.9 Crosses 24.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 Passes 342
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-3 HT 1-2 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
16.07.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-3 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town HAZ
25.01.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-2 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
28.08.2021 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
24.04.2021 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
13.04.2021 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
0.24 xG 1.91
21% Ball Possession 79%
2 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
83 Passes 571
49% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon and Ipswich Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ipswich Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 21% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 79%, shots finished 2-20, expected goals 0.24 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.67 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Ipswich Town?

AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Ipswich Town in the England - League Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 28%, draw 29%, Ipswich Town 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ipswich Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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