Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Nottingham Forest
İNP
1-2
HT 1-1
Newcastle United
İNP
2-0
HT 0-0
Nottingham Forest
İNP
3-1
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNLK
2-2
HT 2-2
Nottingham Forest
İNLK
Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newcastle United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.83 for Newcastle United.
What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?
Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle United in the England - League Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 21%, draw 24%, Newcastle United 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.