Xerez 0-1 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2025

Xerez
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Estepona
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.99
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
17%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
26%
2/1
2%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Xerez The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Estepona The Market 25%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.52 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
0.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.01.2025 Estepona Estepona 1-1 HT 0-0 Xerez Xerez İS4
14.09.2024 Xerez Xerez 0-1 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
0 - 1
AWAY Estepona
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Xerez vs Estepona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Estepona came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Xerez 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Xerez's favour, shots finished 11-13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estepona led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Xerez against 1.00 for Estepona.

Xerez vs Estepona Result & Final Score

Xerez 0 - 1 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Xerez vs Estepona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Xerez 47%, draw 36%, Estepona 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xerez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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