FC Levadia 3-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
10%
7.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.4
No
51%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
84%
-2.9pp
10%
Draw
9%
+0.9pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
38%
+11.6pp
51%
BTTS No
62%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -4%
2.49/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.79
-2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
68% Ball Possession 32%
27 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-6 HT 1-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
18.06.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
19.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-9 HT 0-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
27.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
16.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
3-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia got the better of Tallinna Kalev 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 66% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 34%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for FC Levadia and 0.67 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Levadia 3-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 82%, draw 10%, Tallinna Kalev 8%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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