Naples 4-0 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 28 Sep 2025

Naples
4-0 HT 2-0
Alta
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 31%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.25/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.69
+33% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.2 Crosses 9.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Alta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.40 xG 1.16
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
222 Passes 482
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2025 Alta Alta 1-1 HT 1-0 Naples USL1
29.06.2025 Alta Alta 4-1 HT 1-0 Naples USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
4-0
AWAY Alta
1.42 xG 0.64
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
184 Passes 451
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naples vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples swept aside Alta 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Naples found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naples had 33% of the ball to Alta's 67%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.42 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naples and 2.50 for Alta.

What was the final score of Naples vs Alta?

Naples 4-0 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naples 37%, draw 30%, Alta 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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