Capelle vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Capelle v Roda — Team-Based Signals
Capelle 1-5 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Roda cruised past Capelle 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Capelle had 34% of the ball to Roda's 66%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 1.19 to 2.50.
What was the final score of Capelle vs Roda?
Capelle 1-5 Roda in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Capelle vs Roda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Capelle 21%, draw 17%, Roda 62%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.