Hoogeveen 1-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
17%
+11.9pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoogeveen EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / +25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoogeveen
1-0
AWAY Emmen
1.11 xG 2.48
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 15
136 Passes 541
61% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 38
5 Crosses 47
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoogeveen vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoogeveen edged past Emmen 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoogeveen had 26% of the ball to Emmen's 74%, shots finished 6-28, expected goals 1.11 to 2.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Emmen.

What was the final score of Hoogeveen vs Emmen?

Hoogeveen 1-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoogeveen vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hoogeveen 29%, draw 18%, Emmen 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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