Helmond Sport 1-4 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
51%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
51%
Away Win
42%
+8.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.3
Crosses 29.3
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 2.66
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
217 Passes 448
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-3 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
12.12.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
02.03.2012 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-3 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
12.09.2011 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
08.04.2011 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
27.09.2010 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1-4
AWAY PEC Zwolle
0.82 xG 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
316 Passes 523
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle ran out comfortable winners over Helmond Sport 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PEC Zwolle as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 40% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 60%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.82 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.67 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs PEC Zwolle?

Helmond Sport 1-4 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 28%, draw 21%, PEC Zwolle 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEC Zwolle), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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