Gemert 0-1 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
61%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.82
No
39%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+9.0pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
61%
Away Win
73%
-11.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.7pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gemert EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -25%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
Crosses 21.5
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gemert
0-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.70 xG 1.55
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
176 Passes 356
61% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gemert vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard squeezed past Gemert 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gemert had 39% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 61%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.70 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Gemert vs Fortuna Sittard?

Gemert 0-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gemert vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gemert 20%, draw 19%, Fortuna Sittard 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOK More Netherlands - KNVB Cup
28 Oct 2025
20:45 Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag Analysis →
22:00 Capelle vs Roda Analysis →
22:00 GVVV vs De Graafschap Analysis →
22:00 Helmond Sport vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →
22:00 Katwijk vs Vitesse Analysis →
22:00 Hoogeveen vs Emmen Analysis →