Den Bosch 3-3 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.9pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 57%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.86/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.42
-28% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
1W-1D-4L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
02.03.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
13.09.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
11.02.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
25.08.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
26.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
3-3
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.02 xG 4.47
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 12
8 Corners 4
272 Passes 577
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 37
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and ADO Den Haag shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Den Bosch had 37% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 63%, shots finished 18-20, expected goals 2.02 to 4.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Den Bosch and 1.50 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag?

Den Bosch 3-3 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 29%, draw 24%, ADO Den Haag 47%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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