GVVV 4-2 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

GVVV
4-2 HT 3-1
De Graafschap
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2025/2026

GVVV vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GVVV v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 60%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.60
-29% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
– Crosses 28.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

GVVV 4-2 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
4-2
AWAY De Graafschap
2.38 xG 1.86
30% Ball Possession 70%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
129 Passes 480
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GVVV vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV beat De Graafschap 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, GVVV had 30% of the ball to De Graafschap's 70%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.38 to 1.86.

What was the final score of GVVV vs De Graafschap?

GVVV 4-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split GVVV 26%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 52%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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