Katwijk 1-1 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.62
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +106%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
Crosses 13.3
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
1-1
AWAY Vitesse
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk and Vitesse couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Katwijk had 47% of the ball to Vitesse's 53%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Vitesse?

Katwijk 1-1 Vitesse in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 32%, draw 23%, Vitesse 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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