San Carlos 1-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
0.81/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.27
-34% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
01.03.2025 San Carlos San Carlos 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
20.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
28.07.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
14.01.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 3-2 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Carlos
1-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos edged past Municipal Liberia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; San Carlos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, San Carlos had 47% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 53%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Carlos and 1.50 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?

San Carlos 1-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 36%, draw 29%, Municipal Liberia 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
29 Jan 2026
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