Cardiff City 0-2 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
9%
5.68
X/X
12%
3.71
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.37
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.32
-24% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 71%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
18.0 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sunderland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
218 Passes 385
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
10.04.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
05.11.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
13.01.2018 Cardiff City Cardiff City 4-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
23.09.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 1-2 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
27.04.2014 Sunderland Sunderland 4-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
0-2
AWAY Sunderland
0.28 xG 3.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
445 Passes 362
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland got the better of Cardiff City 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cardiff City had 56% of the ball to Sunderland's 44%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.28 to 3.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cardiff City and 1.00 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Sunderland?

Cardiff City 0-2 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 42%, draw 26%, Sunderland 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cardiff City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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