Southend United 1-0 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2025

Southend United
1-0 HT 1-0
Oldham Athletic
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - National League – 2024/2025

Southend United vs Oldham Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.76
X/2
12%
6.9
X/X
18%
4.35
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.35
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southend United v Oldham Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.59/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.02
+5% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Southend United vs Oldham Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.02 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
204 Passes 361
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
02.03.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 4-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
18.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
20.08.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
06.03.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN2

Southend United 1-0 Oldham Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
1-0
AWAY Oldham Athletic
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United nicked a narrow win over Oldham Athletic 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Southend United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Southend United had 49% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 51%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southend United and 0.67 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Oldham Athletic?

Southend United 1-0 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Southend United 39%, draw 31%, Oldham Athletic 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
29 Mar 2025
15:30 Forest Green Rovers vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
18:00 Barnet vs Gateshead Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs AFC Fylde Analysis →