Newport County 0-2 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

Newport County
0-2 HT 0-1
Notts County
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Newport County vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 29% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.25
1/2
7%
20.95
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
9%
10.8
X/2
17%
4.29
X/X
15%
6.1
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.01
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport County v Notts County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.05/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.22
+22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +59%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.6 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Newport County vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Notts County
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 2.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 461
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Notts County Notts County 0-0 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
13.02.2024 Newport County Newport County 1-3 HT 0-2 Notts County Notts County İN2
24.10.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 2-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
19.02.2019 Notts County Notts County 1-4 HT 1-3 Newport County Newport County İN2
21.08.2018 Newport County Newport County 3-2 HT 2-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
17.02.2018 Newport County Newport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2

Newport County 0-2 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
0-2
AWAY Notts County
0.59 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
297 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County got the better of Newport County 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newport County had 43% of the ball to Notts County's 57%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.59 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newport County and 1.50 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Notts County?

Newport County 0-2 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newport County 28%, draw 28%, Notts County 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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