CA Penarol vs Rosario Central Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Rosario Central — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
CA Penarol 2-1 Rosario Central — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol nicked a narrow win over Rosario Central 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Penarol had 44% of the ball to Rosario Central's 56%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.78 to 0.88.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Rosario Central?
CA Penarol 2-1 Rosario Central in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Rosario Central?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 44%, draw 32%, Rosario Central 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.