LDU Quito 2-0 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.91
Over
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.4
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
24%
3.48
6+
13%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
LDU Quito win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.06/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.32
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
23.8 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Universitario
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.33 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
372 Passes 195
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
7 Box Touches 7
6 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-0
AWAY Universitario
2.31 xG 0.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
413 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito saw off Universitario 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LDU Quito had 60% of the ball to Universitario's 40%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.31 to 0.24.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Universitario?

LDU Quito 2-0 Universitario in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 60%, draw 23%, Universitario 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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