Junior 0-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.62
Over
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No Pick
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.58
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
23%
4.55
6+
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.57
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.92
X/2
9%
5.65
X/X
12%
4.04
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
22%
4.32
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.17/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.03
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +130%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
13.8 Crosses 8.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botafogo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.48 xG 0.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
271 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-3 HT 1-3 Junior Junior LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
0-0
AWAY Botafogo
0.48 xG 0.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 240
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and Botafogo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Junior had 58% of the ball to Botafogo's 42%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.48 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Junior vs Botafogo?

Junior 0-0 Botafogo in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Junior 33%, draw 28%, Botafogo 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LKU More Copa Libertadores
29 May 2024
01:00 CA Penarol vs Rosario Central Analysis →
01:00 LDU Quito vs Universitario Analysis →
01:00 Atletico Mineiro vs Caracas FC Analysis →
03:00 Bolivar vs Palestino Analysis →
03:00 Flamengo vs Millonarios Analysis →