Marino De Luanco 1-0 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.08/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.00
-94% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles HAZ
06.04.2025 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
24.11.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
07.04.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
26.11.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
02.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-0
AWAY Real Aviles
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco nicked a narrow win over Real Aviles 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Aviles at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Aviles led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.33 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles?

Marino De Luanco 1-0 Real Aviles in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 30%, draw 29%, Real Aviles 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Aviles), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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