Marino De Luanco 0-2 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
7%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2025 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
24.11.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
07.04.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
26.11.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
02.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
20.11.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
0-2
AWAY Real Aviles
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles beat Marino De Luanco 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Aviles as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 43% of the ball to Real Aviles's 57%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Aviles led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.17 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles?

Marino De Luanco 0-2 Real Aviles in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 31%, draw 26%, Real Aviles 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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