Avellino vs Foggia Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Foggia Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Foggia Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Foggia Calcio
İTCK
0-0
HT 0-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
3-2
HT 2-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
1-1
HT 1-1
Avellino
İTC
1-2
HT 1-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
Avellino 2-1 Foggia Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino squeezed past Foggia Calcio 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avellino had 62% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 38%, shots finished 21-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Avellino and 1.17 for Foggia Calcio.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Foggia Calcio?
Avellino 2-1 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Foggia Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Avellino 44%, draw 27%, Foggia Calcio 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.