Virtus Verona 1-2 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.81/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.03
-24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
03.09.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-3 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-2
AWAY Atalanta II
66% Ball Possession 34%
29 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II squeezed past Virtus Verona 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 66% of the ball to Atalanta II's 34%, shots finished 29-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.50 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II?

Virtus Verona 1-2 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 21%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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