FC Dallas 1-3 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.07
Over
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.99
2-3
38%
1.84
4-5
24%
3.11
6+
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.41
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
18%
5.5
X/2
12%
5.92
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.78
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.41/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.16
+6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.1 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Orlando City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
393 Passes 324
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.05.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
28.09.2020 FC Dallas FC Dallas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
04.08.2019 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
07.10.2018 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
30.09.2017 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
05.07.2016 FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-0 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
1-3
AWAY Orlando City
1.51 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
353 Passes 445
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City got the better of FC Dallas 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Orlando City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 45% of the ball to Orlando City's 55%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.51 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Dallas and 0.50 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Orlando City?

FC Dallas 1-3 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 38%, draw 27%, Orlando City 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Dallas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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