Compostela vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Compostela v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Compostela 0-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves squeezed past Compostela 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Compostela had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 50%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.20 to 1.37.
What was the final score of Compostela vs Deportivo Alaves?
Compostela 0-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Compostela vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Compostela 23%, draw 21%, Deportivo Alaves 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.