Guijuelo 1-2 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.48
Over
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No Pick
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ourense CF
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-1 HT 0-1 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
26.11.2023 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-0 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
12.03.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-0 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
23.10.2022 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
1-2
AWAY Ourense CF
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF squeezed past Guijuelo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ourense CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guijuelo had 49% of the ball to Ourense CF's 51%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ourense CF led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Guijuelo and 0.75 for Ourense CF.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Ourense CF?

Guijuelo 1-2 Ourense CF in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 36%, draw 26%, Ourense CF 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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