Real Jaen 0-3 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.74
Over
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No Pick
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 66%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.90/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.75
+102% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -48%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
23.0 Crosses 31.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Jaen
0-3
AWAY Cadiz
0.12 xG 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
161 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Jaen vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz swept aside Real Jaen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cadiz as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Real Jaen had 45% of the ball to Cadiz's 55%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.12 to 2.17.

What was the final score of Real Jaen vs Cadiz?

Real Jaen 0-3 Cadiz in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Jaen vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Jaen 22%, draw 25%, Cadiz 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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