Villamuriel vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villamuriel v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Villamuriel 0-5 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano cruised past Villamuriel 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.
On the day, Villamuriel had 18% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 82%, shots finished 4-28, expected goals 0.72 to 2.97.
What was the final score of Villamuriel vs Rayo Vallecano?
Villamuriel 0-5 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villamuriel vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Villamuriel 13%, draw 20%, Rayo Vallecano 67%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.