Poblense vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Poblense v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Poblense 1-6 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal swept aside Poblense 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.
On the day, Poblense had 44% of the ball to Villarreal's 56%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.52 to 2.94.
What was the final score of Poblense vs Villarreal?
Poblense 1-6 Villarreal in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Poblense vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Poblense 15%, draw 15%, Villarreal 70%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.